The New ‘Fall of Constantinople’: How AI Scaling Could Reshape Global Power by 2030Generative AI capabilities have been increasing fast. For some bystanders, this has been just another example of a tech hype and bubble…Sep 17Sep 17
Making good decisionsCurrently, decisions leaders make are intuitive guesses. I argue this does not have to be the case. Instead, various tools are emerging…Mar 9Mar 9
Sinis nousevat pyramiidit, kunis elää ihminen: Ajatuksia longtermismistaJälkimoderni yhteiskunta, jossa elämme, on Ulrich Beckin vanhan kuvauksen mukainen “riskiyhteiskunta” (Giddens): henkilökohtaiset ja…Apr 21, 2023Apr 21, 2023
5 tulevaisuuden trendiä tiedeviestinnässäTrendi 1 — Koneelliset kielimallit auttavat selittämään monimutkaisia asioita kansantajuisestiDec 15, 2022Dec 15, 2022
Dark Futurology on ChinaI participated recently in two very interesting sessions on the future of China. In these sessions, various excellent China experts…Dec 10, 2022Dec 10, 2022
Asking the Weight of the Emperor’s Cauldrons: Ten Problems that Lead to the End of China as We Know…The 20th National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party is here. During these days, despite the turmoil in Europe, many look to China…Oct 27, 2022Oct 27, 2022
An Action PlanReading Bill Gates’ How to Avoid Climate Disaster, John Doerr’s Speed and Scale: An Action plan for Solving our Climate Crisis Now, and…Sep 29, 2022Sep 29, 2022
European Geopolitics 2024–2030European Security Policy Scenario for this decadeJan 23, 2022Jan 23, 2022
A Security Policy ScenarioPolitical and economic outcomes of the potential Russian attack on Ukraine make the attack significantly more likelyJan 19, 2022Jan 19, 2022
On Mazda Stud and other kinds of illegitimate journalism platformsThis essay is about so-called boundary work in journalism. There is a growing need for clarifying the boundaries of what journalism is and…Dec 17, 2020Dec 17, 2020